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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Julie Doran

Team: Gladstone BDivision: League 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

606

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 5 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

5

Matches Played

0

Wins

5

Losses

0%

Win Rate

0.0

Avg Win Margin

12.2

Avg Loss Margin

0-2

Home Record

0-3

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
5 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 6/12/2026

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (5 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 5 matches

+14 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

28 Jun26 Jul5 Aug23 Aug12 Jun-1371115

Gives 14 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current14
Win Percentage(40%)
0%
score-1.00→contribution-0.40
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
0.0
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
12.2
score-0.70→contribution-0.10
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
0%
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Opponent Strength(10%)
792
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Weighted Score-0.705
Sample Size Confidence
80%(5/39 matches)
Rating648 → shrunk 718→ adjusted 598
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)718
Recency Blend7% (5 recent matches)
Final Rating606
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

0W5L5 matches·0% win rate
-314 since first recorded
26 Aug2 Sept3 Sept7308209101083
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Gladstone B2024–2026League 1, League 25050%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
6/12/2026Lee AbbottH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 1
8/23/2024Eric CookA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
8/5/2024Jack WoodA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
7/26/2024Dave EvansA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
6/28/2024Jaxon McelnayH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2

Current Streak

5losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

0

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 100% win rate— steady
LLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Lee Abbott0110%6/12/2026
Eric Cook0110%8/23/2024
Jack Wood0110%8/5/2024
Dave Evans0110%7/26/2024
Jaxon Mcelnay0110%6/28/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Lee Abbott (-14)6/12/2026
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 0%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7925 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
0-50% win rate

By Division

League 20-4 (0%)
League 10-1 (0%)
League 10%
0W·1L·1 played
League 20%
0W·4L·4 played

Debut

Jun 28, 2024

Latest

Jun 12, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (2.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

2.5 (5 total)

Seasons

20242026